Chicago Fed Financial Conditions (NFCI) (NFCI) Live Data, Formula & Analysis

Macro Economic Definition & Formula

The NFCI provides a comprehensive weekly update on US financial conditions across risk, liquidity, and leverage.

Formula: Weighted average of 105 financial market indicators across money, debt, and equity markets

Key Indicator Specifications Table

Indicator ParameterValue / Specification
Indicator NameChicago Fed Financial Conditions (NFCI)
Ticker SymbolNFCI
Normal Baseline Range-0.60 - -0.30
Unit of MeasureIndex Score (Zero = Historic Average)
Authoritative SourceFederal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Authoritative Data Source Citation

Negative values indicate loose financial conditions (supporting equities); positive values indicate tight conditions.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (https://www.chicagofed.org)

Market Impact & Historical Context

Loose conditions (NFCI < -0.40) support equity rallies and credit spread narrowing.

Spiked above +1.0 during 2008 financial crisis and March 2020 pandemic onset.

liquidityNFCI

Chicago Fed Financial Conditions (NFCI)

Latest Value110.5
+2.1%

The NFCI provides a comprehensive weekly update on US financial conditions across risk, liquidity, and leverage.

NORMAL BASELINE RANGE-0.60 - -0.30
UNIT OF MEASUREIndex Score (Zero = Historic Average)
AUTHORITATIVE DATA SOURCEFederal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Historical Trend & Macro Shading

Formula & Calculation Mechanism

Weighted average of 105 financial market indicators across money, debt, and equity markets

Negative values indicate loose financial conditions (supporting equities); positive values indicate tight conditions.

Market Impact on US Equities & S&P 500

Loose conditions (NFCI < -0.40) support equity rallies and credit spread narrowing.

Historical Precedents & Bull/Bear Regimes

Spiked above +1.0 during 2008 financial crisis and March 2020 pandemic onset.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q:What does a negative NFCI score mean?

Negative NFCI scores indicate financial conditions are looser than historic averages, favoring stock market risk-taking.